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Отсутствие возможности участвовать в политических процессах приводит к радикализации в среде крайних исламистских и других групп, которые порой обращаются к насильственным методам. Консолидация власти в руках малочисленных элит отстраняла других от участия в политическом процессе, порождая тем самым политическую напряженность.

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Организация выделяет менее 5 процентов общего бюджета на свои миссии и программы mqp этих пяти государствах, где размещено всего около 30 иностранных сотрудников dating sites for professionals in south africa map 2017 new york почти представителей ОБСЕ, работающих за пределами штаб-квартиры. Малочисленный штат сотрудников отчасти является результатом сопротивления со стороны центральноазиатских стран-хозяев, которые не стремятся к увеличению ресурсов, предназначенных для мониторинга их деятельности.

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В то же время, Центральная Азия жмите на пороге значительных перемен.

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Но для организации крайне важно иметь более четкое видение своих задач и намерений. Первоочередной стратегической целью должно стать предотвращение конфликта. Угроза конфликта проистекает из целого ряда факторов, но главными из них являются плохая политика в области безопасности, ухудшающиеся социально-экономические возможности и авторитарные политические культуры и институты.

В рамках новой стратегии следует сделать особый упор на усилия по выработке более эффективных подходов к безопасности в каждой из стран; по созданию потенциала экономического развития на по ссылке уровнях; а также по расширению политического плюрализма.

Для этого нужны мероприятия и проекты в трех классических измерениях ОБСЕ: Но чтобы оказывать реальное воздействие, ОБСЕ должна усилить влияние на правительства в регионе.

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Одним из способов достижения этого, после пересмотра стратегии увидеть больше сделать свою деятельность более значимой для обществ в этих странах.

В международных финансовых институтах растет понимание того, что ссуды правительствам или иностранные инвестиции более чем бесполезны без соответствующих изменений в политических структурах и экономической политике.

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Более dating sites for professionals in south africa map 2017 new york секретариат с настоящим ядром экспертов по региону позволил бы лучше использовать анализ и планирование при реализации мероприятий и программ. Большая координация между самыми разными институтами привела бы к улучшению политики. Следует усовершенствовать процесс найма и подготовки сотрудников.

ОБСЕ является организацией, где решения принимаются на основании консенсуса между 55 государствами-участниками, и вполне понятно, что добиться перемен стоит большего труда. Но если государства-участники действительно хотят, чтобы организация влияла на ход событий в Центральной Азии, нужна политическая воля для того, чтобы существенно dating sites for professionals in south africa map 2017 new york акценты.

В противном случае ОБСЕ перестанет играть сколько-нибудь существенную роль по мере того, как политические пути центральноазиатских стран будут уводить их все дальше от идеалов, на которых основана эта организация. To the smaller, embryonic Central Asian nation states, the new geopolitical realities could offer both economic prosperity as well as worsening instability and conflict.

They have divergent goals, but Russia and China have committed to cooperate politically and economically. Their initiatives offer investments and enhanced cooperation in a region beset by economic and political challenges. Poorly handled, however, these initiatives could encourage and entrench local behaviour that risks generating instability and conflict. The SREB aims to open trade routes for China across its vast continental hinterland while creating a zone of security around its troubled western region of Xinjiang.

It is an umbrella concept rather than a clear set of projects. The first stage involves multi-billion dollar investments building rail and road links to Central Asia and across it to Iran, Russia, the Caucasus, Turkey, and Europe. China aims to reduce physical, technical and political barriers to trade, in pursuit of its longer-term goal of a free-trade agreement across the region.

Poorer countries, such as Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, hope for investments in agriculture and industry to boost their economies.

The plan also has a strategic and ideological dimension, extending Chinese political clout and promoting a state-led development model. If successful, it could form the first step in a new kind of international order in which China plays a leading role. Chinese plans face serious challenges. Political sensitivities are high.

While Central Asian elites welcome an influx of funding, Chinese investors often encounter popular suspicion and xenophobia. Rumours of land being leased to Chinese investors sparked protests in Kazakhstan in May A suicide bomb attack on the Chinese embassy in Bishkek in August raised fears in Beijing about security vulnerabilities.

Many извиняюсь, online dating advice for teens online dating sites это deals do not benefit the wider population and are accompanied by accusations of high-level corruption. There also are environmental concerns as China exports polluting industries into the region. This combination of nationalism, anger over corruption and environmental impacts could fuel anti-Chinese — and anti-government — sentiment in Central Asia.

The SREB also challenges Russia, which separately has been bolstering its regional role by building its own institutions. The EEU aims to promote free movement of goods, labour, services and capital within its borders while imposing tariffs on external imports.

However, the EEU is slow to deliver on its promise of greater economic integration. Trade among members has fallen since in terms of both volume and value, due to the devaluation of the rouble, though it has picked-up slightly in There are political limitations, too. Russia, though, remains a key partner for the Central Asian countries.

Its deep and multi-layered political, social and cultural influence in Central Asia currently surpasses that of China. Moreover, Central Asian states each have agendas of their own and dating sites for professionals in south africa map 2017 new york obstacles to regional trade will prove difficult. Thus, Kazakhstan is keen to maintain strong links with the West to balance Russian and Chinese involvement while Uzbekistan, despite showing signs of seeking better relations with its neighbours, still restricts free trade across its borders.

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